Policia de Lara vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
POL
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
POL
5 - 1
REA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
POL
2 - 1
TUC
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SCG
0 - 1
POL
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIN
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
CAR
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
REA
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |