Policia de Lara vs Carabobo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ZUL
1 - 1
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
URE
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 2
POL
46%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
POL
0 - 1
ZUL
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
ZAM
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Carabobo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
ULA
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
URE
1 - 0
CAR
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 0
CAR
25%
25%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
ATL
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |