Policia de Lara vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
72.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
POL
0 - 3
ZAM
14%
21%
65%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PDB
3 - 0
POL
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
POL
0 - 3
FRO
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
TIT
3 - 0
POL
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 0
POL
79%
15%
6%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TIT
0 - 7
ATL
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAL
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
PDB
0 - 1
ATL
29%
25%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FRO
1 - 1
ATL
26%
25%
48%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |