Policia de Lara vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
POL
0 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PDB
4 - 0
POL
63%
19%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
FRO
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TIT
3 - 0
POL
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 1
POL
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TIT
2 - 1
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAL
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PDB
0 - 1
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 1
ATL
37%
25%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |