Policia de Lara vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
POL
2 - 2
ATL
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
POL
1 - 2
POR
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
URE
2 - 2
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 1
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 3
FAL
37%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAR
30%
24%
45%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
TAC
20%
25%
56%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 3
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 5
TRU
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MIN
4 - 1
ATL
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |