Policia de Lara vs Atlético Socopó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
POL
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
7 - 0
POL
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -5 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
PDB
44%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 0
POL
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POL
3 - 2
TIT
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Socopó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 1
ATL
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 3
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -3 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TIT
1 - 2
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAL
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |