Policia de Lara vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 2
POL
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
POL
0 - 2
ULA
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CDS
2 - 0
POL
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
LOT
54%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GVA
0 - 0
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 1
URE
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 1
FAL
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ULA
2 - 3
ARR
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
CDS
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
ARR
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |