Policia de Lara vs Mineros de Guayana B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 3
POL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
FAL
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
POL
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 0
POL
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
POL
5 - 0
DIA
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mineros de Guayana B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 5
URE
31%
26%
42%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
MIN
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
MIN
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FAL
4 - 0
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MIN
2 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |