Policia SP vs Windsor Arch Ka I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
PSP
1 - 0
LLM
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PSP
0 - 1
FCP
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MCA
2 - 2
PSP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PSP
3 - 0
MAC
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 1
PSP
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KTM
1 - 1
WAK
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
WAK
3 - 0
LLM
58%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 2
WAK
46%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
WAK
0 - 0
MCA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 6
WAK
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |