Policia SP vs Windsor Arch Ka I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GLP
1 - 0
PSP
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
HTM
1 - 3
PSP
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
PSP
1 - 1
VLM
43%
24%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PSP
1 - 2
HFM
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
GLP
2 - 0
PSP
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
WAK
5 - 1
HLM
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |