Policia SP vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
56.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TCK
2 - 0
PSP
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MCA
3 - 1
PSP
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PSP
1 - 0
SMA
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +4 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PSP
3 - 1
LUL
13%
16%
72%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
WAK
2 - 0
PSP
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 2
CPK
40%
21%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PSP
1 - 0
SMA
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -9 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 4
CPK
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HSA
1 - 3
SMA
14%
15%
71%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SMA
5 - 1
MCA
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |