Policia SP vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
77.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PSP
3 - 1
LUL
13%
16%
72%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
WAK
2 - 0
PSP
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
PSP
4 - 3
CPO
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +4 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CHF
1 - 0
PSP
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
PSP
0 - 3
CPK
3%
9%
88%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 4
CPK
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HSA
1 - 3
SMA
14%
15%
71%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SMA
5 - 1
MCA
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LUL
1 - 6
SMA
23%
19%
58%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 1
SMA
71%
16%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |