Policia SP vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
81%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
CHF
4 - 2
PSP
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
PSP
0 - 3
MCA
4%
9%
87%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
PSP
1 - 3
HSA
21%
19%
61%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
CPK
3 - 0
PSP
96%
4%
1%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
WAK
2 - 1
PSP
90%
7%
2%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
WAK
36%
21%
43%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
CHF
4 - 2
SMA
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
CDT
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
HSA
3 - 5
SMA
16%
18%
66%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
CPK
5 - 1
SMA
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |