Policia SP vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
HSA
2 - 2
PSP
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MCA
1 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PSP
1 - 0
ALF
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 3
CHF
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 2
BEN
3%
9%
89%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | +12 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 0
MCA
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 2
SMA
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 0
CHF
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 5
BEN
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 2
CPK
16%
18%
66%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -5 |