Policia SP vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
PSP
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
KLM
5 - 2
PSP
92%
6%
3%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +14 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CPK
2 - 0
PSP
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -14 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 1
PSP
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PSP
0 - 4
WAK
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
4 - 3
WAK
37%
21%
42%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
9 - 0
SMA
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 0
MAC
42%
21%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
KLM
5 - 1
SMA
58%
19%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 3
LAI
49%
21%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |