Policia SP vs Hoi Fan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PSP
0 - 3
WAK
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PSP
2 - 1
GDA
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PSP
1 - 2
GLP
38%
23%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
PSP
0 - 0
MCA
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PSP
1 - 0
LLM
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hoi Fan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
GDA
2 - 3
HFM
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MCA
5 - 1
HFM
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 0
HFM
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
HFM
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HFM
1 - 8
WAK
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |