Policia SP vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.6%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
88.5%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.4%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15%
0-5
6.9%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
9.4%
0-6
3.8%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5%
0-7
1.8%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.3%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HSA
2 - 1
PSP
88%
9%
4%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
PSP
2 - 1
MAC
16%
18%
65%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
PSP
2 - 0
CDT
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | +5 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
PSP
0 - 3
BEN
3%
7%
90%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
PSP
1 - 7
SMA
6%
13%
81%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BEN
4 - 0
WAK
73%
15%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
CDT
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
BEN
7 - 0
SMA
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
PSP
0 - 3
BEN
3%
7%
90%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
CHF
71%
17%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |