Policia SP vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.3%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
88.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
14.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
20.1%
0-4
11.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
14.4%
0-5
6.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
8.4%
0-6
3.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 7
CPK
40%
21%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LAI
2 - 3
PSP
45%
22%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 2
WAK
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SMA
5 - 0
PSP
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
PSP
3 - 2
HSA
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 2
BEN
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
HWA
2 - 3
BEN
18%
17%
65%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 2
AIR
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
9 - 0
ALF
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CHF
0 - 7
BEN
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |