Policia SP vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
PSP
1 - 3
WAK
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
PSP
1 - 0
CLU
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PSP
0 - 5
BEN
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
PSP
0 - 6
CPK
38%
24%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 3
PSP
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
BEN
7 - 0
CLU
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BEN
5 - 0
CPK
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PSP
0 - 5
BEN
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 0
MAC
65%
18%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
CPO
0 - 8
BEN
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |