Policia SP vs Cheng Fung analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
54.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 2
PSP
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
PSP
0 - 3
BEN
15%
16%
69%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CPO
0 - 0
PSP
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PSP
0 - 3
CPK
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 2
PSP
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CHF
5 - 1
SMA
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
LUL
1 - 5
CHF
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CHF
1 - 0
HSA
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
TCK
3 - 2
CHF
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CHF
0 - 6
BEN
38%
21%
41%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |