Policia SP vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
56.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
6 - 0
PSP
83%
11%
7%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PSP
0 - 0
CPO
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CPK
4 - 0
PSP
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PSP
3 - 0
SMA
23%
21%
57%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TCK
2 - 0
PSP
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
62%
19%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
LUL
4 - 1
MCA
23%
19%
58%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 0
HSA
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 0
TCK
56%
19%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CHF
1 - 0
MCA
44%
20%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |