Policia SP vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
WAK
1 - 1
PSP
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
PSP
0 - 2
MAC
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
LAI
1 - 1
PSP
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PSP
0 - 4
CHF
39%
22%
40%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PSP
0 - 0
SMA
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
MCA
2 - 1
BEN
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 0
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
KLM
2 - 2
MCA
53%
19%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MCA
0 - 1
CPK
63%
17%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 5
MCA
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |