Policia SP vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
PSP
2 - 2
HSA
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PSP
1 - 0
CHF
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 2
PSP
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
PSP
0 - 3
BEN
15%
16%
69%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CPO
0 - 0
PSP
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
4 - 1
LUL
50%
20%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
TCK
2 - 0
LUL
65%
17%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
HSA
1 - 3
LUL
32%
20%
48%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
LUL
1 - 5
CHF
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
MCA
2 - 2
LUL
55%
19%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |