AS Police vs Sitatunga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 0
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
EFO
46%
24%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
JSP
0 - 0
POL
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 0
POL
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
JSO
1 - 0
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sitatunga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
EFO
1 - 3
SFC
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
JSO
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ASC
3 - 0
SFC
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
AVR
3 - 1
SFC
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 1
DFC
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |