Police XI vs Security Systems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 2
POL
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
SSS
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UFS
0 - 1
POL
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
EXT
45%
28%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
TAF
1 - 1
POL
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SES
2 - 3
TOW
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
UFS
0 - 1
SES
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SBB
0 - 1
SES
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SES
0 - 1
GAB
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
SES
2 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |