Police XI vs Morupule Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
EAN
1 - 2
POL
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
POL
0 - 3
TOW
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 0
POL
43%
23%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
POL
0 - 4
GAB
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 1
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morupule Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
TOW
0 - 0
MOW
61%
20%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MOW
3 - 2
MFC
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SES
2 - 1
MOW
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MOW
1 - 2
GAL
32%
24%
45%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MOW
3 - 1
ORA
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |