Police XI vs Morupule Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
POL
4 - 0
BOT
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
EXT
4 - 1
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
MAS
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
MOW
1 - 0
POL
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
SUA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morupule Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
GAB
2 - 2
MOW
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MOW
2 - 2
PRI
64%
19%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
MOW
1 - 0
POL
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MOW
1 - 1
TOW
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
ORA
2 - 1
MOW
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |