Police XI vs BR Highlanders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
POL
1 - 0
EXT
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
SSS
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
SBB
1 - 1
POL
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
POL
1 - 2
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
GAL
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
BR Highlanders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BRH
1 - 0
SBB
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
SSS
1 - 1
BRH
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BRH
0 - 3
GAL
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
BRH
1 - 0
NOT
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BLF
1 - 1
BRH
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |