Police XI vs FC Gilport Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2017 |
TOW
2 - 0
POL
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
POL
0 - 1
GAB
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
GAL
3 - 2
POL
51%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
BLF
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 1
POL
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 1
NIC
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
SBB
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 2
CEN
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 2
BOT
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 2
BOT
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |