Police XI vs FC Gilport Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SBB
2 - 1
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 2
POL
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
BRH
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
2 - 0
POL
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEN
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
MIS
2 - 0
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
EXT
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 0
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
FCS
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |