Police XI vs FC Gilport Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 2
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
TOW
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
TAF
0 - 1
POL
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
POL
2 - 1
UFS
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
POL
2 - 1
NOT
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 0
NOT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
BOT
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOG
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
0 - 1
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |