Police XI vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
POL
2 - 3
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TOW
7 - 0
POL
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
EXT
1 - 4
POL
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
POL
0 - 1
MCS
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
POL
1 - 1
MOW
66%
19%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 2
BOT
20%
24%
57%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
EXT
1 - 4
BOT
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 4
ORA
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
5 - 1
TAF
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
TOW
23%
26%
52%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |