Police XI vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
GAL
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 0
POL
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
POL
3 - 1
ORA
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MIS
1 - 0
POL
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
POL
0 - 3
TOW
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
SBB
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SSS
3 - 0
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
GAL
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
NOT
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BLF
0 - 2
BOT
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |