Poliçani vs Vlora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poliçani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TOM
5 - 0
POL
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
POL
1 - 2
BUT
35%
25%
41%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
TEP
5 - 1
POL
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
POL
2 - 1
MAL
49%
23%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
3 - 0
POL
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vlora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
VLO
4 - 3
DEL
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PER
0 - 0
VLO
17%
24%
59%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
VLO
5 - 2
POJ
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 2
VLO
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VLO
4 - 3
TOM
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |