Poli Almería vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LOJ
1 - 1
POL
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
POL
2 - 2
UDS
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
ANT
6 - 0
POL
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
POL
2 - 1
JUV
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ALH
2 - 1
POL
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
RJA
3 - 1
CDT
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 1
RJA
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
RJA
4 - 1
TOR
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HUE
0 - 2
RJA
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RJA
6 - 0
ATA
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |