Polet Ljubić vs Šumadija Aranđelovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polet Ljubić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LOZ
1 - 0
PLJ
35%
28%
37%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PLJ
2 - 1
SLO
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FKS
0 - 2
PLJ
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
PLJ
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
PLJ
2 - 0
PBB
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Šumadija Aranđelovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 0
MAV
29%
29%
43%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FKK
1 - 1
SAR
45%
25%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
SEM
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 0
JOS
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RKO
1 - 0
SAR
59%
23%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |