Polet Ljubić vs Sloga Bajina Bašta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
7º
5º
34
7º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polet Ljubić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 3
PLJ
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
JED
6 - 1
PLJ
80%
15%
5%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
PLJ
1 - 5
MLA
17%
23%
60%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 0
PLJ
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PLJ
0 - 2
SLO
11%
18%
72%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Sloga Bajina Bašta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SME
1 - 0
SBB
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SBB
3 - 0
SLO
57%
21%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SME
2 - 0
SBB
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SBB
1 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RSK
2 - 2
SBB
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |