Polar vs Piast Gliwice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
POL
2 - 1
JAG
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ARK
4 - 0
POL
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
POL
1 - 0
RAD
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
RCH
2 - 2
POL
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
POL
0 - 1
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
PGL
1 - 2
SZC
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
TLO
3 - 0
PGL
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PGL
4 - 0
LKS
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ALU
0 - 1
PGL
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
PGL
1 - 1
POG
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |