Polan vs Recas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MOC
3 - 2
POL
48%
23%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POL
2 - 3
VSA
26%
22%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SON
2 - 0
POL
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
POL
1 - 2
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
T66
3 - 0
POL
59%
21%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
REC
4 - 1
CTI
60%
21%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MOC
1 - 1
REC
53%
23%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
REC
2 - 2
GUA
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VSA
1 - 0
REC
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REC
2 - 1
FUE
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |