Point Fortin vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Point Fortin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
POI
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
POI
53%
22%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
POI
1 - 3
CEN
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POI
2 - 1
POL
29%
23%
47%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
POI
43%
23%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
DEF
50%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ANN
1 - 2
DEF
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
DEF
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
CON
51%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |