Pogradeci vs KF Luftëtari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
4º
2º
34
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TEP
2 - 1
POG
10%
20%
70%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
POG
2 - 1
LFC
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 0
POG
11%
20%
70%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
POG
7 - 0
ALB
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MEM
1 - 6
POG
5%
16%
78%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
KF Luftëtari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LUF
5 - 2
DEV
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LUF
0 - 1
TEP
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 0
LUF
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LUF
3 - 1
SHK
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 1
LUF
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |