GKS Pogon vs Start Otwock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GKS Pogon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
OKL
5 - 1
PGM
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PGM
4 - 1
ZRP
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PGM
3 - 2
WIE
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
PGM
1 - 1
LTM
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 0
PGM
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SOT
1 - 2
TAR
75%
15%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WZP
5 - 2
SOT
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SOT
3 - 1
OWP
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
KSL
2 - 1
SOT
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SOT
1 - 2
UWA
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |