Podravina vs NK Papuk Orahovica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
10º
9º
32
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
24.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
POD
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NKK
5 - 2
POD
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POD
0 - 1
NKP
14%
18%
69%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POD
1 - 2
POD
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
POD
5 - 0
NDD
16%
18%
67%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
NK Papuk Orahovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAP
2 - 4
NKP
7%
15%
78%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
POD
7 - 2
PAP
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 1
NDD
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NKS
3 - 0
PAP
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PAP
2 - 0
RMS
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |