Poços de Caldas vs Formiga EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poços de Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
PDC
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
PDC
2 - 1
TOM
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 0
PDC
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
PDC
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
PDC
1 - 0
FEC
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Formiga EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 1
FEC
41%
26%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
FEC
1 - 1
TRI
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEC
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FEC
1 - 0
URT
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
PDC
1 - 0
FEC
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |