Poços de Caldas vs Formiga EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poços de Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
PDC
1 - 2
URT
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
URT
1 - 2
PDC
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
FEC
3 - 2
PDC
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PDC
1 - 0
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
URT
3 - 0
PDC
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Formiga EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
FEC
1 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
FEC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
FEC
3 - 2
PDC
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
URT
2 - 1
FEC
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FEC
5 - 0
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |