Poços de Caldas vs EC Itauna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poços de Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 0
PDC
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PDC
2 - 2
FEC
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
PDC
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
PDC
2 - 1
TOM
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 0
PDC
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
EC Itauna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 0
PDC
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 0
ECI
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 1
FEC
41%
26%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 2
NEC
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TOM
1 - 1
ECI
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |