Poços de Caldas vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 0
CAL
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 3
TUP
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CAL
0 - 1
DEM
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
VIL
4 - 1
CAL
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CAL
0 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |