Poconé vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poconé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
POC
1 - 2
DBO
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RON
2 - 1
POC
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
MIX
2 - 1
POC
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
POC
3 - 1
SIN
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
POC
2 - 0
LUV
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 2
CUI
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
LUV
2 - 1
CUI
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 1
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
CUI
2 - 0
MUR
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
DBO
0 - 1
CUI
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |