Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Poblense vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
UDM
3 - 1
PBL
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PBL
3 - 0
ALA
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BNS
6 - 1
PBL
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PBL
1 - 0
PXD
42%
27%
31%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 4
PBL
19%
24%
58%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
UDM
3 - 1
PBL
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 4
UDM
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
UDM
1 - 0
OBE
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 1
UDM
20%
25%
56%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 2
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |