Poblense vs Serverense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CLL
0 - 1
PBL
33%
25%
43%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
PBL
3 - 0
FLN
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
IBI
2 - 0
PBL
19%
21%
61%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PBL
1 - 0
ESP
78%
14%
7%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
PBL
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SER
3 - 1
MER
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CLL
3 - 1
SER
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
ALC
15%
22%
62%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FLN
2 - 0
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
SNF
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |